A Perfect Storm

The shipping industry is in rough waters lately. In many categories, global capacity exceeds demand, and shipping rates and ship values have sunk to near-abyssal lows. Take the VLCC (“very large capacity carrier”) tanker business, for example. Back in 2005...

Inventories Explode

Over the past 15 year, many businesses have adopted sophisticated inventory tracking systems and just-in-time inventory policies.  As a result, they have gotten much more efficient in their use of inventory, as shown in this chart: Source: Wachovia Economics   This...

Lower Sales Means Higher Cash Flow (Eventually)

As we move further into recession, we often see a pattern in corporate free cash flow (defined here as cash from operating activities minus capital expenditures and dividends). A company’s ability to manage cash flow as sales decline is a key determinant of...